Geopolitics & Trade

US tariffs are turbulent again. Here's the freight-team playbook for selling into uncertainty.

Section 301, Section 232, and a new wave of country-specific tariffs are turning freight planning into a daily exercise. Here's how the best brokers are positioning around the noise.

V
Valesco Raymond
Founder & Operator
Mar 11, 20267 min read
Cargo ship at sea

Tariff policy in early 2026 is moving faster than most procurement teams can plan around. Section 301 against China remains in force. Section 232 reviews are active on multiple categories. New executive-order tariffs have been imposed and rescinded on freight from specific countries within weeks. The pattern: every two to four weeks, a new tariff event reshuffles a piece of your shipper's import-cost structure.

What this looks like in BOL data

Three operational fingerprints. First: rush imports ahead of an expected tariff (volume spikes on a country-of-origin lane in the 30–60 days before a tariff goes into effect). Second: post-tariff origin shifts (after a tariff hits, importers explore alternate origins, often Mexico, Vietnam, or India for the same product class). Third: country-of-origin manipulation — transshipment patterns that look unusual, where the BOL origin is one country but the actual production country is likely China. This shows up as suspicious lane-volume increases through known transshipment hubs.

How freight teams are positioning

The best freight brokers and forwarders selling in this environment are NOT positioning as tariff experts. They're positioning as freight reliability partners during a period of operational instability. Shippers don't need a third-party legal opinion on tariff exposure. They need someone who can move freight quickly when sourcing pivots happen, run consolidations efficiently when volume spikes pre-tariff, and offer routing flexibility when policy creates last-minute demand.

What this means for your team

Build a watchlist for shippers showing pre-tariff rush-import patterns. Build a sequence around the operational reality: "Saw your Vietnam volume spike 60% in the last 30 days. We've helped similar importers consolidate the rush imports without bumping per-unit costs — worth a 15-min conversation?" That's a meeting. "Tariffs are here" is not.

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